Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-03-17 · 19:30
12.1743.0%
X3.4327.2%
23.1329.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Castellon
LLDWWLLLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
La Coruna
LWLWDWDWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.60
1.30
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.70
Against
7.40
8.90
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded
1.10
2.70
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Castellon attack

1.40goals per match
La Coruna conceded1.10
Matchup

La Coruna attack

1.60goals per match
Castellon conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.70
Corners against
7.40
8.90
Match total
10.70
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.50
Match total
3.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
23.60
Match total
21.70

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
5.60
On target
4.20
9%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches675
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.0%42.2%-0.8 pp
Draw27.2%28.7%+1.5 pp
Away29.8%29.0%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.527.7%
BTTS55.7%

Historical average

1.481.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.6%
1-09.9%
2-19.6%
1-28.9%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.544.41
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=674.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.3%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.530.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches194
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.1%28.7%–42.0% CI
Draw FT37.1%30.6%–44.1% CI
Away FT27.8%22.0%–34.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.2%
2+ goals39.2%
3+ goals20.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.1%
Away45.4%