Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-03-16 · 13:00
12.6435.3%
X3.0430.7%
22.7434.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Eldense
LWWDDLLLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Mirandes
LLWWLWLLDL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.80
Against
6.20
10.10
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.20
2.70
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Eldense attack

1.10goals per match
Mirandes conceded1.20
Matchup

Mirandes attack

1.00goals per match
Eldense conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.20
10.10
Match total
10.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.00
Match total
3.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
25.40
Match total
28.90

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.10
On target
4.00
7%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches702
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.3%32.6%-2.7 pp
Draw30.7%34.5%+3.8 pp
Away34.0%32.9%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.518.1%
BTTS47.7%

Historical average

1.071.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.1%
0-013.2%
1-012.3%
0-112.0%
2-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.724.51
Average total9.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=702.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.8%
Over 9.545.6%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.522.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches273
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.9%23.9%–34.6% CI
Draw FT46.9%41.1%–52.8% CI
Away FT24.2%19.5%–29.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.9%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals11.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.2%
Away41.4%