Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-03-10 · 19:30
12.1742.9%
X3.0130.9%
23.5526.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burgos
LDLWWDWLWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Albacete
DLDLWLDDLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
0.70
0.80
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.50
1H goals
1.00
1.00
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.90
Against
3.90
9.10
Total
7.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.70
0.80
Goals conceded
1.40
1.50
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burgos attack
0.70goals per matchAlbacete conceded1.40Matchup
Albacete attack
0.70goals per matchBurgos conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.90
Corners against
3.90
9.10
Match total
7.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.80
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.70N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
25.90
Match total
25.10
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
3.50
On target
3.20
6%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches572
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.9%44.4%+1.5 pp
Draw30.9%30.1%-0.8 pp
Away26.2%25.5%-0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.516.8%
BTTS46.7%
Historical average
1.28–0.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.0%
1-013.3%
0-010.7%
0-110.5%
2-110.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.01–3.90
Average total8.91
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=572.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.538.5%
Over 10.528.8%
Over 11.520.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches230
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.3%28.5%–40.7% CI
Draw FT43.0%36.8%–49.5% CI
Away FT22.6%17.7%–28.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.5%
2+ goals34.3%
3+ goals12.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.0%
Away44.8%