Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-03-09 · 15:15
12.6435.4%
X2.9431.8%
22.8532.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Malaga
DWWDDWDLDW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Cadiz
LLDDLDWDWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.10
0.50
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.00
0.90
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.50
Against
5.40
9.40
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.10
0.50
Goals conceded
1.40
1.50
Total goals
2.50
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Malaga attack

1.00goals per match
Cadiz conceded1.40
Matchup

Cadiz attack

1.10goals per match
Malaga conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.40
9.40
Match total
8.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.80
Match total
6.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
32.10
Match total
30.20

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
3.90
On target
3.40
7%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches479
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.4%33.2%-2.2 pp
Draw31.8%36.3%+4.5 pp
Away32.8%30.5%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.515.9%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

1.081.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.4%
0-013.4%
1-011.7%
0-19.6%
1-28.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.544.35
Average total8.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=479.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.8%
Over 9.542.6%
Over 10.529.0%
Over 11.518.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches179
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.5%22.4%–35.5% CI
Draw FT46.9%39.8%–54.2% CI
Away FT24.6%18.9%–31.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.2%
2+ goals32.4%
3+ goals10.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.3%
Away39.7%