Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-03-08 · 17:30
12.1343.8%
X3.2928.4%
23.3627.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Gijon
WWLWLLDWDD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Santander
WWWDLLDWLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.20
Against
4.50
8.80
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
2.40
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sp Gijon attack

1.30goals per match
Santander conceded1.50
Matchup

Santander attack

1.20goals per match
Sp Gijon conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.20
Corners against
4.50
8.80
Match total
8.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.70
Match total
6.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.30N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
26.50
Match total
32.20

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
4.70
On target
4.60
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,227
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.8%44.4%+0.6 pp
Draw28.4%29.3%+0.9 pp
Away27.8%26.3%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.525.1%
BTTS54.9%

Historical average

1.451.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
1-011.7%
2-110.7%
0-07.7%
2-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.414.42
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,227.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches389
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT36.8%32.1%–41.7% CI
Draw FT38.6%33.9%–43.5% CI
Away FT24.7%20.7%–29.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.6%
2+ goals37.8%
3+ goals13.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.3%
Away43.7%