Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-03-08 · 17:30
11.7254.3%
X3.6425.7%
24.6620.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Elche
WWLWWWWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Castellon
LWDDDLLLWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.00
0.50
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
5.10N=10
2.50
Against
4.90
9.00
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.00
0.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.50
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Elche attack

2.00goals per match
Castellon conceded1.50
Matchup

Castellon attack

1.00goals per match
Elche conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
2.50
Corners against
4.90
9.00
Match total
10.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.40
Match total
3.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

14.80N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
31.90
Match total
27.50

Shots

16.60N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
6.40
On target
2.50
12%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches618
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.3%58.3%+4.0 pp
Draw25.7%23.3%-2.4 pp
Away20.0%18.4%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.523.8%
BTTS46.1%

Historical average

1.650.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.0%
2-112.8%
2-010.4%
1-19.9%
0-08.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.913.93
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=618.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches210
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT46.2%39.6%–52.9% CI
Draw FT37.1%30.9%–43.9% CI
Away FT16.7%12.2%–22.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.2%
2+ goals39.5%
3+ goals13.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.4%
Away36.7%