Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-05-26 · 17:30
11.9647.5%
X3.0930.1%
24.1722.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burgos
WWWWWDDWDL
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Tenerife
DDLDLDLLWL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.70
0.70
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.70
0.80
2H goals
1.40
50%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.80
Against
6.00
10.50
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.70
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
2.20
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burgos attack
1.50goals per matchTenerife conceded1.40Matchup
Tenerife attack
0.70goals per matchBurgos conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.00
10.50
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.30N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.50
Match total
5.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.50N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
22.40
Match total
26.70
Shots
14.80N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
5.50
On target
2.30
10%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches406
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.5%49.0%+1.5 pp
Draw30.1%29.6%-0.6 pp
Away22.3%21.4%-0.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS47.8%
Historical average
1.39–0.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-016.7%
1-113.5%
0-010.3%
2-19.6%
0-18.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.41–3.82
Average total9.23
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=406.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.2%
Over 9.543.1%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.522.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches151
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT45.7%38.0%–53.6% CI
Draw FT37.1%29.8%–45.0% CI
Away FT17.2%12.0%–24.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.19
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals30.5%
3+ goals11.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.6%
Away32.5%