Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-05-17 · 19:30
13.3727.8%
X3.1829.4%
22.1942.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Mirandes
DWDWLWDLWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Elche
LWWLWWLLDL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.70
1H goals
0.70
1.50
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.50
Against
4.00
9.00
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
2.20
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Mirandes attack
1.20goals per matchElche conceded1.20Matchup
Elche attack
1.00goals per matchMirandes conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.00
9.00
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.90
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
24.80
Match total
25.70
Shots
11.20N=10
Shots
16.10N=10
3.50
On target
4.50
11%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches484
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.8%24.4%-3.4 pp
Draw29.4%28.5%-0.9 pp
Away42.8%47.1%+4.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.1%
BTTS48.1%
Historical average
0.96–1.42
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-114.0%
1-112.8%
1-210.1%
1-09.9%
0-09.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.43–5.12
Average total9.55
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=484.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.547.7%
Over 10.538.0%
Over 11.527.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches156
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT19.2%13.8%–26.1% CI
Draw FT42.9%35.4%–50.8% CI
Away FT37.8%30.6%–45.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.20
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.5%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals13.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home38.5%
Away57.1%