Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 13:00
12.3739.4%
X3.1929.2%
22.9731.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Amorebieta
DLLLWDLWWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Villarreal B
LLLLDLLLLW
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.70
1.30
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.00
Against
5.60
8.60
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.90
2.30
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Amorebieta attack
1.00goals per matchVillarreal B conceded1.90Matchup
Villarreal B attack
0.70goals per matchAmorebieta conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.60
8.60
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.30
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
25.00
Match total
24.10
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
3.10
On target
2.60
9%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches902
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.4%39.6%+0.2 pp
Draw29.2%31.5%+2.2 pp
Away31.4%28.9%-2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS49.3%
Historical average
1.30–1.13
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.0%
1-011.6%
0-010.0%
0-19.1%
2-18.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.26–4.68
Average total9.93
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=902.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.529.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches333
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT29.4%24.8%–34.5% CI
Draw FT41.7%36.6%–47.1% CI
Away FT28.8%24.2%–33.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.32
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.0%
2+ goals39.0%
3+ goals14.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.2%
Away47.4%