Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 15:15
11.9148.9%
X3.0930.2%
24.4820.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ferrol
WDLDDDWWWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Alcorcon
LWWLLLLWLL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.40
1.00
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
10%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.20
Against
5.90
9.10
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.40
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.20
Total goals
1.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
10%1/10
Matchup

Ferrol attack

1.20goals per match
Alcorcon conceded1.30
Matchup

Alcorcon attack

0.40goals per match
Ferrol conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.90
9.10
Match total
9.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.20
Match total
5.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
26.90
Match total
28.90

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
3.80
On target
3.00
10%
Conversion
3%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches219
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.9%51.6%+2.7 pp
Draw30.2%33.8%+3.6 pp
Away20.9%14.6%-6.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.520.5%
BTTS48.4%

Historical average

1.480.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.9%
1-016.0%
2-111.0%
0-010.5%
2-010.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.523.87
Average total9.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=219.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.9%
Over 9.545.7%
Over 10.533.8%
Over 11.526.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches73
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.2%34.3%–56.6% CI
Draw FT42.5%31.8%–53.9% CI
Away FT12.3%6.6%–21.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.5%
2+ goals30.1%
3+ goals13.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.9%
Away32.9%