Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 13:00
11.8351.1%
X3.5626.3%
24.1222.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Santander
DWLWWWWLDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Mirandes
DDLLLLLLDW
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
0.40
1.00
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
7.20N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.20
Against
6.00
11.40
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.40
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
1.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Santander attack
1.70goals per matchMirandes conceded1.30Matchup
Mirandes attack
0.40goals per matchSantander conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.00
11.40
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.80
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.60N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
30.20
Match total
22.80
Shots
15.30N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
7.00
On target
2.90
11%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches488
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.1%49.2%-1.9 pp
Draw26.3%28.3%+2.0 pp
Away22.7%22.5%-0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS51.4%
Historical average
1.58–0.99
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.3%
1-011.5%
2-09.8%
2-19.2%
0-08.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.76–4.46
Average total10.22
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=488.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.5%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.532.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches153
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.9%32.5%–47.8% CI
Draw FT38.6%31.2%–46.5% CI
Away FT21.6%15.8%–28.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.5%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals13.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.6%
Away38.6%