Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 13:00
11.8351.1%
X3.5626.3%
24.1222.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Santander
DWLWWWWLDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Mirandes
DDLLLLLLDW
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.40
1.00
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.20
Against
6.00
11.40
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.40
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
1.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Santander attack

1.70goals per match
Mirandes conceded1.30
Matchup

Mirandes attack

0.40goals per match
Santander conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.00
11.40
Match total
10.10
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.80
Match total
4.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
30.20
Match total
22.80

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
7.00
On target
2.90
11%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches488
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.1%49.2%-1.9 pp
Draw26.3%28.3%+2.0 pp
Away22.7%22.5%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS51.4%

Historical average

1.580.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.3%
1-011.5%
2-09.8%
2-19.2%
0-08.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.764.46
Average total10.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=488.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.5%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.532.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches153
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.9%32.5%–47.8% CI
Draw FT38.6%31.2%–46.5% CI
Away FT21.6%15.8%–28.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.5%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals13.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.6%
Away38.6%