Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 17:30
12.2940.6%
X2.9631.4%
23.3228.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Zaragoza
LWDWWLLLWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Burgos
WWDLLLWLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.70N=10
2.70
Against
5.60
8.90
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.90
2.30
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Zaragoza attack

1.30goals per match
Burgos conceded1.90
Matchup

Burgos attack

1.00goals per match
Zaragoza conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
2.70
Corners against
5.60
8.90
Match total
10.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.20
Match total
3.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.80N=10
Committed
8.70N=10
27.40
Match total
21.10

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
4.10
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches273
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.6%41.4%+0.8 pp
Draw31.4%31.5%+0.1 pp
Away28.0%27.1%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.517.9%
BTTS45.1%

Historical average

1.230.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-012.5%
1-111.7%
1-011.4%
2-110.3%
0-19.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.993.98
Average total8.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=273.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.2%
Over 9.542.5%
Over 10.530.4%
Over 11.520.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches104
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.8%21.0%–38.2% CI
Draw FT47.1%37.8%–56.6% CI
Away FT24.0%16.8%–33.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.3%
2+ goals40.4%
3+ goals17.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.1%
Away46.2%