Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 17:30
12.2940.6%
X2.9631.4%
23.3228.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Zaragoza
LWDWWLLLWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Burgos
WWDLLLWLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
4.70N=10
2.70
Against
5.60
8.90
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.90
2.30
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Zaragoza attack
1.30goals per matchBurgos conceded1.90Matchup
Burgos attack
1.00goals per matchZaragoza conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
2.70
Corners against
5.60
8.90
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.20
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.80N=10
Committed
8.70N=10
27.40
Match total
21.10
Shots
12.90N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
4.10
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches273
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.6%41.4%+0.8 pp
Draw31.4%31.5%+0.1 pp
Away28.0%27.1%-0.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.517.9%
BTTS45.1%
Historical average
1.23–0.96
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-012.5%
1-111.7%
1-011.4%
2-110.3%
0-19.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.99–3.98
Average total8.97
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=273.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.550.2%
Over 9.542.5%
Over 10.530.4%
Over 11.520.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches104
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.8%21.0%–38.2% CI
Draw FT47.1%37.8%–56.6% CI
Away FT24.0%16.8%–33.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.32
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.3%
2+ goals40.4%
3+ goals17.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.1%
Away46.2%