Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 17:30
13.3128.1%
X2.9032.0%
22.3339.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Eldense
LDDWDWWDLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Leganes
LDWLDLWWDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.80
1.20
Conceded
0.80
30%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.50
1.00
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
2.80N=10
2.90
Against
6.20
9.60
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded
0.80
2.30
Total goals
1.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Eldense attack

1.10goals per match
Leganes conceded0.80
Matchup

Leganes attack

0.80goals per match
Eldense conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
2.90
Corners against
6.20
9.60
Match total
9.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.10
Match total
5.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.60N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
26.60
Match total
26.20

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
3.80
On target
3.00
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches73
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.1%34.2%+6.2 pp
Draw32.0%26.0%-6.0 pp
Away39.9%39.7%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.550.7%
Over 2.528.8%
Over 3.515.1%
BTTS35.6%

Historical average

0.921.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-120.5%
1-017.8%
1-111.0%
0-011.0%
0-26.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.664.42
Average total8.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=73.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.537.0%
Over 9.524.7%
Over 10.515.1%
Over 11.59.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.4%20.4%–51.7% CI
Draw FT28.1%15.6%–45.4% CI
Away FT37.5%22.9%–54.7% CI

Remaining goals

0.94

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals15.6%
3+ goals3.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.5%
Away43.8%