Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 17:30
13.3128.1%
X2.9032.0%
22.3339.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Eldense
LDDWDWWDLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Leganes
LDWLDLWWDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.80
1.20
Conceded
0.80
30%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.50
1.00
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.70N=10
For
2.80N=10
2.90
Against
6.20
9.60
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded
0.80
2.30
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Eldense attack
1.10goals per matchLeganes conceded0.80Matchup
Leganes attack
0.80goals per matchEldense conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
2.90
Corners against
6.20
9.60
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.10
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.60N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
26.60
Match total
26.20
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
3.80
On target
3.00
8%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches73
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.1%34.2%+6.2 pp
Draw32.0%26.0%-6.0 pp
Away39.9%39.7%-0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.550.7%
Over 2.528.8%
Over 3.515.1%
BTTS35.6%
Historical average
0.92–1.04
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-120.5%
1-017.8%
1-111.0%
0-011.0%
0-26.8%
Comparable corner averages
3.66–4.42
Average total8.08
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=73.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.537.0%
Over 9.524.7%
Over 10.515.1%
Over 11.59.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.4%20.4%–51.7% CI
Draw FT28.1%15.6%–45.4% CI
Away FT37.5%22.9%–54.7% CI
Remaining goals
0.94
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals15.6%
3+ goals3.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home37.5%
Away43.8%