Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 20:00
12.1044.5%
X3.0131.0%
23.8124.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cartagena
WLWWWLWWLW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Alcorcon
LLWWLLLLWL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.40
0.80
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
10%
By half
0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.30
Against
6.70
9.30
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.40
2.00
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cartagena attack
1.20goals per matchAlcorcon conceded1.40Matchup
Alcorcon attack
0.40goals per matchCartagena conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.70
9.30
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.80
Match total
5.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.90N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
24.10
Match total
28.70
Shots
12.10N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
4.50
On target
3.10
10%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches196
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.5%45.4%+0.9 pp
Draw31.0%30.1%-0.9 pp
Away24.5%24.5%-0.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.515.8%
BTTS41.3%
Historical average
1.23–0.84
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.8%
1-113.3%
0-012.2%
0-111.2%
2-09.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.17–3.65
Average total8.82
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=196.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.551.0%
Over 9.540.8%
Over 10.527.0%
Over 11.521.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches77
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.2%21.9%–42.2% CI
Draw FT49.4%38.5%–60.3% CI
Away FT19.5%12.2%–29.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.13
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals31.2%
3+ goals9.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.6%
Away40.3%