Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 20:00
12.1044.5%
X3.0131.0%
23.8124.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cartagena
WLWWWLWWLW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Alcorcon
LLWWLLLLWL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.40
0.80
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
10%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.30
Against
6.70
9.30
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.40
2.00
Total goals
1.80
50%5/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
20%2/10
BTTS
10%1/10
Matchup

Cartagena attack

1.20goals per match
Alcorcon conceded1.40
Matchup

Alcorcon attack

0.40goals per match
Cartagena conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.70
9.30
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.80
Match total
5.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
24.10
Match total
28.70

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
4.50
On target
3.10
10%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches196
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.5%45.4%+0.9 pp
Draw31.0%30.1%-0.9 pp
Away24.5%24.5%-0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.515.8%
BTTS41.3%

Historical average

1.230.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.8%
1-113.3%
0-012.2%
0-111.2%
2-09.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.173.65
Average total8.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=196.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.551.0%
Over 9.540.8%
Over 10.527.0%
Over 11.521.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches77
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.2%21.9%–42.2% CI
Draw FT49.4%38.5%–60.3% CI
Away FT19.5%12.2%–29.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals31.2%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.6%
Away40.3%