Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 17:30
12.5536.6%
X3.1829.3%
22.7434.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Santander
WDWLWWWWLD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Elche
WLWWLWWLLD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.90
Against
3.90
11.00
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
0.90
2.50
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Santander attack

1.60goals per match
Elche conceded0.90
Matchup

Elche attack

1.10goals per match
Santander conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.90
Corners against
3.90
11.00
Match total
8.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
6.00
Match total
4.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
31.20
Match total
25.30

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
15.70N=10
6.70
On target
4.90
11%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches870
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.6%34.0%-2.6 pp
Draw29.3%30.7%+1.3 pp
Away34.1%35.3%+1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS53.0%

Historical average

1.221.26

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
0-110.2%
1-09.7%
0-08.4%
1-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.084.63
Average total9.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=870.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.525.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches279
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.3%23.4%–33.9% CI
Draw FT40.5%34.9%–46.4% CI
Away FT31.2%26.0%–36.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals39.1%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.3%
Away51.3%