Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 17:30
12.5536.6%
X3.1829.3%
22.7434.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Santander
WDWLWWWWLD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Elche
WLWWLWWLLD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.10N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.90
Against
3.90
11.00
Total
8.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
0.90
2.50
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Santander attack
1.60goals per matchElche conceded0.90Matchup
Elche attack
1.10goals per matchSantander conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.90
Corners against
3.90
11.00
Match total
8.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
6.00
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.50N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
31.20
Match total
25.30
Shots
14.80N=10
Shots
15.70N=10
6.70
On target
4.90
11%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches870
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.6%34.0%-2.6 pp
Draw29.3%30.7%+1.3 pp
Away34.1%35.3%+1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS53.0%
Historical average
1.22–1.26
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.3%
0-110.2%
1-09.7%
0-08.4%
1-27.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.08–4.63
Average total9.70
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=870.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.525.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches279
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.3%23.4%–33.9% CI
Draw FT40.5%34.9%–46.4% CI
Away FT31.2%26.0%–36.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals39.1%
3+ goals13.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.3%
Away51.3%