Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-04-29 · 19:30
12.0545.5%
X3.0930.2%
23.8424.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ferrol
WWDLDDDWWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Mirandes
DDDLLLLLLD
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
0.20
1.20
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
20%
By half
0.70
1H goals
0.80
2.20
2H goals
0.70
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.40
Against
5.70
8.90
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.20
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.90
Total goals
1.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ferrol attack
1.70goals per matchMirandes conceded1.30Matchup
Mirandes attack
0.20goals per matchFerrol conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.70
8.90
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.10
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.30N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
27.90
Match total
23.00
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
4.00
On target
2.60
15%
Conversion
2%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches234
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.5%50.9%+5.3 pp
Draw30.2%29.1%-1.1 pp
Away24.3%20.1%-4.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.523.1%
BTTS44.4%
Historical average
1.45–0.85
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.0%
0-013.7%
1-19.8%
2-19.8%
0-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.31–3.85
Average total9.16
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=234.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.7%
Over 9.544.4%
Over 10.531.6%
Over 11.522.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches95
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.1%32.7%–52.2% CI
Draw FT41.1%31.7%–51.1% CI
Away FT16.8%10.6%–25.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.19
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.3%
2+ goals27.4%
3+ goals16.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.6%
Away31.6%