Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 13:00
11.7653.1%
X3.5426.4%
24.5620.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Gijon
DDDLWDWWLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Villarreal B
LLLLLDLLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.40
0.80
Conceded
2.10
30%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.00
2H goals
1.40
50%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.80
Against
5.20
10.10
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.40
0.80
Goals conceded
2.10
1.80
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Gijon attack
1.00goals per matchVillarreal B conceded2.10Matchup
Villarreal B attack
0.40goals per matchSp Gijon conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.20
10.10
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
6.00
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
22.90
Match total
26.00
Shots
13.50N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
4.00
On target
2.20
7%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches452
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.1%58.6%+5.5 pp
Draw26.4%23.7%-2.7 pp
Away20.5%17.7%-2.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS50.4%
Historical average
1.77–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-012.6%
2-011.7%
2-111.7%
1-110.8%
0-07.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.98–4.13
Average total10.11
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=452.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.7%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.544.5%
Over 11.534.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches136
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.1%36.0%–52.5% CI
Draw FT39.0%31.2%–47.4% CI
Away FT16.9%11.5%–24.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.37
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.7%
2+ goals44.9%
3+ goals11.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home62.5%
Away38.2%