Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 17:30
12.0845.0%
X3.1829.4%
23.6625.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Elche
WLDDWDWWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Espanol
LDDLLWDWDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.00
Against
5.80
9.90
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.10
2.00
Total goals
1.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Elche attack

1.30goals per match
Espanol conceded1.10
Matchup

Espanol attack

0.80goals per match
Elche conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.80
9.90
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.20
Match total
4.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
26.60
Match total
29.60

Shots

17.40N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
4.40
On target
1.60
7%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches530
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.0%40.9%-4.1 pp
Draw29.4%34.2%+4.7 pp
Away25.6%24.9%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS46.8%

Historical average

1.280.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.8%
1-012.8%
0-011.9%
2-010.0%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.224.09
Average total9.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=530.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.5%
Over 9.544.9%
Over 10.533.4%
Over 11.525.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches213
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.2%29.1%–41.8% CI
Draw FT45.1%38.5%–51.8% CI
Away FT19.7%14.9%–25.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.4%
2+ goals38.0%
3+ goals8.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.6%
Away40.8%