Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-04-21 · 15:15
11.4464.6%
X4.1022.7%
27.3612.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Eibar
WDDWWWLLWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Alcorcon
LLLWWLLLLW
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.60
0.90
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.20
Against
6.70
9.20
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.60
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
2.80
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Eibar attack

1.90goals per match
Alcorcon conceded1.60
Matchup

Alcorcon attack

0.60goals per match
Eibar conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
3.20
Corners against
6.70
9.20
Match total
9.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.10
Match total
5.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
22.10
Match total
28.30

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
5.50
On target
3.10
13%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches55
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.6%70.9%+6.3 pp
Draw22.7%23.6%+0.9 pp
Away12.6%5.5%-7.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.525.5%
BTTS43.6%

Historical average

1.800.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-023.6%
2-016.4%
0-09.1%
3-19.1%
1-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.983.09
Average total9.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=55.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.543.6%
Over 10.530.9%
Over 11.516.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%43.7%–83.7% CI
Draw FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–17.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals27.8%
3+ goals5.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.2%
Away5.6%