Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 17:30
11.7154.8%
X3.5626.3%
24.9518.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Elche
WWLDDWDWWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Sp Gijon
WDLDWLLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
0.60
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.80
Against
4.60
10.30
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded
1.20
1.90
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Elche attack

1.30goals per match
Sp Gijon conceded1.20
Matchup

Sp Gijon attack

1.00goals per match
Elche conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.60
10.30
Match total
9.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.10
Match total
4.10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
26.80
Match total
22.30

Shots

17.70N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.50
On target
3.40
7%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches372
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.8%53.8%-1.0 pp
Draw26.3%25.5%-0.8 pp
Away18.9%20.7%+1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.521.8%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.660.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.2%
2-112.9%
2-011.8%
1-09.7%
0-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.023.76
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=372.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.8%
Over 9.550.3%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.529.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches120
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.8%37.2%–54.7% CI
Draw FT28.3%21.0%–37.0% CI
Away FT25.8%18.8%–34.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.49

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.7%
2+ goals45.8%
3+ goals15.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away44.2%