Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 17:30
13.0430.8%
X2.8033.4%
22.6135.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Zaragoza
DLWDWWLLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Elche
LWLWWLWWLL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.00
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
5.00N=10
2.90
Against
3.90
9.00
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.00
2.10
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Zaragoza attack
1.20goals per matchElche conceded1.00Matchup
Elche attack
1.00goals per matchZaragoza conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
2.90
Corners against
3.90
9.00
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.10
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.30N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
28.20
Match total
26.70
Shots
13.30N=10
Shots
15.90N=10
4.30
On target
4.90
9%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches91
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.8%29.7%-1.1 pp
Draw33.4%35.2%+1.8 pp
Away35.8%35.2%-0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.515.4%
BTTS51.6%
Historical average
1.03–1.09
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.4%
0-013.2%
1-212.1%
0-19.9%
1-08.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.09–4.71
Average total8.80
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=91.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.0%
Over 9.539.6%
Over 10.527.5%
Over 11.518.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.2%10.7%–37.8% CI
Draw FT45.5%29.8%–62.0% CI
Away FT33.3%19.8%–50.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.06
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals9.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home36.4%
Away45.5%