Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 17:30
12.1643.2%
X3.2828.5%
23.3028.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burgos
WDDWWWWWDD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Santander
WDDLLWLDDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.50
0.40
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
0.80
2H goals
2.00
40%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.50N=10
5.40
Against
5.70
9.90
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.50
0.40
Goals conceded
1.70
1.80
Total goals
3.20
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Burgos attack

1.40goals per match
Santander conceded1.70
Matchup

Santander attack

1.50goals per match
Burgos conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.10
2H goals conceded
1.10
40%4/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.70
9.90
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.60
Match total
5.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
22.00
Match total
29.00

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.80
On target
3.10
11%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,114
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.2%43.1%-0.1 pp
Draw28.5%30.5%+2.1 pp
Away28.3%26.4%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS53.3%

Historical average

1.411.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
1-011.3%
2-110.3%
0-08.7%
0-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.324.37
Average total9.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,114.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.550.1%
Over 10.537.4%
Over 11.527.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches362
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT36.5%31.7%–41.5% CI
Draw FT38.4%33.5%–43.5% CI
Away FT25.1%20.9%–29.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.2%
2+ goals35.4%
3+ goals12.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.8%
Away42.3%