Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 17:30
12.1643.2%
X3.2828.5%
23.3028.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burgos
WDDWWWWWDD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Santander
WDDLLWLDDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.50
0.40
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.20
0.80
2H goals
2.00
40%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
4.50N=10
5.40
Against
5.70
9.90
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.50
0.40
Goals conceded
1.70
1.80
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burgos attack
1.40goals per matchSantander conceded1.70Matchup
Santander attack
1.50goals per matchBurgos conceded0.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.10
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.70
9.90
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.60
Match total
5.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.30N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
22.00
Match total
29.00
Shots
13.30N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.80
On target
3.10
11%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,114
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.2%43.1%-0.1 pp
Draw28.5%30.5%+2.1 pp
Away28.3%26.4%-1.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS53.3%
Historical average
1.41–1.09
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.2%
1-011.3%
2-110.3%
0-08.7%
0-18.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.32–4.37
Average total9.70
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,114.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.550.1%
Over 10.537.4%
Over 11.527.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches362
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT36.5%31.7%–41.5% CI
Draw FT38.4%33.5%–43.5% CI
Away FT25.1%20.9%–29.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.2%
2+ goals35.4%
3+ goals12.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.8%
Away42.3%