Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 17:30
11.7154.8%
X3.4826.9%
25.1218.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valladolid
WDWLWDWWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Eldense
WLDDWDLLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.10
0.50
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.60
Against
7.10
9.20
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
0.50
Goals conceded
1.70
2.10
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Valladolid attack

1.60goals per match
Eldense conceded1.70
Matchup

Eldense attack

1.10goals per match
Valladolid conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.60
Corners against
7.10
9.20
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.80
Match total
4.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
26.70
Match total
25.50

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.20
On target
3.40
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches220
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.8%50.9%-3.9 pp
Draw26.9%27.7%+0.8 pp
Away18.3%21.4%+3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.1%
BTTS47.3%

Historical average

1.500.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.0%
1-012.7%
2-011.8%
2-110.9%
0-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.553.48
Average total9.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=220.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.1%
Over 9.543.2%
Over 10.530.0%
Over 11.524.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches83
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.0%31.0%–51.7% CI
Draw FT33.7%24.5%–44.4% CI
Away FT25.3%17.2%–35.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.1%
2+ goals38.6%
3+ goals12.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.4%
Away41.0%