Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-04-08 · 19:30
11.7553.4%
X3.4826.9%
24.7519.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Santander
LLWDWLWWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Alcorcon
LLLLWWLLLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
0.50
1.40
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.00
Against
6.00
10.30
Total
8.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.50
1.40
Goals conceded
1.80
3.30
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Santander attack
1.90goals per matchAlcorcon conceded1.80Matchup
Alcorcon attack
0.50goals per matchSantander conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.00
10.30
Match total
8.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.70
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.90N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
31.40
Match total
27.80
Shots
13.10N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
6.10
On target
3.00
15%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches386
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.4%54.1%+0.7 pp
Draw26.9%26.2%-0.7 pp
Away19.7%19.7%+0.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS50.8%
Historical average
1.68–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.2%
2-111.7%
1-011.1%
2-010.6%
0-17.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.06–3.77
Average total9.83
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=386.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.535.8%
Over 11.526.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches124
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.5%35.1%–52.3% CI
Draw FT31.5%23.9%–40.1% CI
Away FT25.0%18.2%–33.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.52
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.3%
2+ goals46.0%
3+ goals16.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.3%
Away46.0%