Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-04-08 · 19:30
11.7553.4%
X3.4826.9%
24.7519.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Santander
LLWDWLWWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Alcorcon
LLLLWWLLLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.50
1.40
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.00
Against
6.00
10.30
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.50
1.40
Goals conceded
1.80
3.30
Total goals
2.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Santander attack

1.90goals per match
Alcorcon conceded1.80
Matchup

Alcorcon attack

0.50goals per match
Santander conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.00
10.30
Match total
8.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.70
Match total
4.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
31.40
Match total
27.80

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
6.10
On target
3.00
15%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches386
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.4%54.1%+0.7 pp
Draw26.9%26.2%-0.7 pp
Away19.7%19.7%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS50.8%

Historical average

1.680.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.2%
2-111.7%
1-011.1%
2-010.6%
0-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.063.77
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=386.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.535.8%
Over 11.526.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches124
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.5%35.1%–52.3% CI
Draw FT31.5%23.9%–40.1% CI
Away FT25.0%18.2%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.3%
2+ goals46.0%
3+ goals16.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.3%
Away46.0%