Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-04-07 · 15:15
12.9831.3%
X3.0430.7%
22.4638.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal B
LDWWDDWDLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Burgos
LDWWDLLLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.80
20%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.20
0.80
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.80
Against
5.50
8.70
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.80
1.40
Total goals
2.70
40%4/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Villarreal B attack

0.60goals per match
Burgos conceded1.80
Matchup

Burgos attack

0.90goals per match
Villarreal B conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.50
8.70
Match total
10.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.30
Match total
3.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
8.80N=10
25.10
Match total
20.80

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.60
On target
3.20
4%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches269
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.3%31.2%-0.1 pp
Draw30.7%32.3%+1.6 pp
Away38.0%36.4%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.517.5%
BTTS50.2%

Historical average

1.091.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.1%
0-114.1%
0-010.0%
1-08.9%
2-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.724.88
Average total9.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=269.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.534.6%
Over 11.528.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches96
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.1%20.1%–37.8% CI
Draw FT45.8%36.2%–55.8% CI
Away FT26.0%18.3%–35.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.9%
2+ goals32.3%
3+ goals10.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.0%
Away49.0%