Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-03-31 · 15:15
12.8932.3%
X2.9032.2%
22.6435.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ferrol
WDWWDLDDDW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Elche
DLWLWWLWWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.70
1H goals
0.90
2.10
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.10
Against
4.50
8.70
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
2.80
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ferrol attack
1.60goals per matchElche conceded1.00Matchup
Elche attack
1.10goals per matchFerrol conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.50
8.70
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.50
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.90N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
28.70
Match total
28.00
Shots
12.00N=10
Shots
15.70N=10
4.30
On target
4.90
13%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches293
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.3%31.7%-0.6 pp
Draw32.2%34.1%+1.9 pp
Away35.4%34.1%-1.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.532.4%
Over 3.511.9%
BTTS44.4%
Historical average
0.98–1.02
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.0%
0-014.3%
1-011.9%
1-210.6%
2-09.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.38–4.34
Average total8.73
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=293.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.548.5%
Over 9.539.2%
Over 10.526.6%
Over 11.519.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches132
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%28.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT43.9%35.8%–52.5% CI
Away FT19.7%13.8%–27.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.14
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.2%
2+ goals34.1%
3+ goals9.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.0%
Away35.6%