Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-03-31 · 15:15
12.8932.3%
X2.9032.2%
22.6435.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ferrol
WDWWDLDDDW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Elche
DLWLWWLWWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.90
2.10
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.10
Against
4.50
8.70
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
2.80
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Ferrol attack

1.60goals per match
Elche conceded1.00
Matchup

Elche attack

1.10goals per match
Ferrol conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.50
8.70
Match total
9.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.50
Match total
5.10
100%10/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
28.70
Match total
28.00

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
15.70N=10
4.30
On target
4.90
13%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches293
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.3%31.7%-0.6 pp
Draw32.2%34.1%+1.9 pp
Away35.4%34.1%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.532.4%
Over 3.511.9%
BTTS44.4%

Historical average

0.981.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.0%
0-014.3%
1-011.9%
1-210.6%
2-09.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.384.34
Average total8.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=293.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.548.5%
Over 9.539.2%
Over 10.526.6%
Over 11.519.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches132
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%28.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT43.9%35.8%–52.5% CI
Away FT19.7%13.8%–27.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.2%
2+ goals34.1%
3+ goals9.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.0%
Away35.6%