Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 17:30
12.1743.0%
X3.2528.7%
23.2928.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Gijon
DWDDDLWDWW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Santander
LWDDLLWLDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.30
0.60
Conceded
1.80
20%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.20
0.90
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.50
Against
6.00
9.90
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.30
0.60
Goals conceded
1.80
1.60
Total goals
3.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sp Gijon attack

1.00goals per match
Santander conceded1.80
Matchup

Santander attack

1.30goals per match
Sp Gijon conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.50
Corners against
6.00
9.90
Match total
10.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.40
Match total
5.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
22.60
Match total
28.00

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.40
On target
3.10
7%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,121
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.0%43.5%+0.6 pp
Draw28.7%28.9%+0.2 pp
Away28.3%27.6%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.526.1%
BTTS54.0%

Historical average

1.441.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
1-011.5%
2-110.3%
0-17.9%
0-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.354.47
Average total9.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,121.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.551.3%
Over 10.538.8%
Over 11.528.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches336
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT36.0%31.1%–41.3% CI
Draw FT38.4%33.4%–43.7% CI
Away FT25.6%21.2%–30.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals33.9%
3+ goals11.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.3%
Away42.0%