Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 17:30
11.7254.5%
X3.5726.2%
24.8619.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Oviedo
WDWWWDWDWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Santander
WLWDDLLWLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.50
0.80
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.90N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.90
Against
5.80
11.80
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.50
0.80
Goals conceded
1.90
2.90
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Oviedo attack

2.10goals per match
Santander conceded1.90
Matchup

Santander attack

1.50goals per match
Oviedo conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.10
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.90N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.80
11.80
Match total
10.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.40
Match total
5.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
25.50
Match total
28.70

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
5.60
On target
3.60
13%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches518
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.5%58.1%+3.6 pp
Draw26.2%23.6%-2.7 pp
Away19.3%18.3%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS48.5%

Historical average

1.680.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.1%
2-113.5%
1-111.4%
2-010.2%
0-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.904.01
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=518.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.1%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.530.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches169
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT46.7%39.4%–54.3% CI
Draw FT36.1%29.2%–43.6% CI
Away FT17.2%12.2%–23.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals17.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.3%
Away41.4%