Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 15:15
11.4365.5%
X4.3421.6%
27.2612.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Eibar
WDWDDWWWLL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Villarreal B
LLWLLLLLDL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.60
1.00
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.60
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.50
Against
6.20
8.70
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.60
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
2.80
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Eibar attack

1.80goals per match
Villarreal B conceded2.00
Matchup

Villarreal B attack

0.60goals per match
Eibar conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
3.50
Corners against
6.20
8.70
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.80
Match total
4.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
23.80
Match total
25.90

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
5.80
On target
2.10
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches93
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.5%74.2%+8.7 pp
Draw21.6%16.1%-5.5 pp
Away12.9%9.7%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS40.9%

Historical average

2.060.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-019.4%
1-015.1%
3-010.8%
2-18.6%
3-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.103.77
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=93.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.529.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT65.6%48.3%–79.6% CI
Draw FT21.9%11.0%–38.8% CI
Away FT12.5%5.0%–28.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.66

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.6%
2+ goals53.1%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.3%
Away34.4%