Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-03-15 · 19:30
11.9947.1%
X2.8932.4%
24.5620.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Eldense
WWDLDDWDWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Cartagena
DLDDWLWDWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.50
Against
5.70
9.50
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
2.80
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Eldense attack

1.70goals per match
Cartagena conceded1.40
Matchup

Cartagena attack

1.10goals per match
Eldense conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.70
9.50
Match total
9.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.70
Match total
5.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
26.40
Match total
24.40

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.10
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches50
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.1%44.0%-3.1 pp
Draw32.4%38.0%+5.6 pp
Away20.5%18.0%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.528.0%
Over 3.516.0%
BTTS42.0%

Historical average

1.260.72

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-122.0%
1-014.0%
0-012.0%
2-08.0%
0-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.844.20
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=50.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.526.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%24.5%–63.5% CI
Draw FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Away FT19.0%7.7%–40.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals9.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.4%
Away33.3%