Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-03-10 · 17:30
11.7553.5%
X3.4027.5%
24.9419.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Eibar
DWDWDDWWWL
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Burgos
LLLDWWDLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.40
Against
5.00
8.30
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
2.90
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Eibar attack

1.90goals per match
Burgos conceded2.00
Matchup

Burgos attack

0.90goals per match
Eibar conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.00
8.30
Match total
10.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.60
Match total
4.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
23.80
Match total
21.10

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
5.70
On target
3.80
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches293
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.5%48.5%-5.0 pp
Draw27.5%31.1%+3.5 pp
Away19.0%20.5%+1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.1%
BTTS47.8%

Historical average

1.490.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.0%
2-011.6%
1-011.3%
2-19.9%
0-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.733.62
Average total9.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=293.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.4%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.532.1%
Over 11.522.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches107
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.4%28.8%–46.8% CI
Draw FT36.4%27.9%–45.9% CI
Away FT26.2%18.8%–35.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.6%
2+ goals44.9%
3+ goals15.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.1%
Away43.9%