Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-03-10 · 13:00
12.3839.3%
X2.9132.1%
23.2728.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Santander
WWLLWDWLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Tenerife
DLLLWLDDLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.50
1.50
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.20
Against
5.20
9.50
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
3.20
Total goals
2.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Santander attack

1.90goals per match
Tenerife conceded1.30
Matchup

Tenerife attack

0.80goals per match
Santander conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.20
9.50
Match total
9.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.50
Match total
5.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
29.10
Match total
24.40

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
5.50
On target
2.40
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches287
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.3%41.5%+2.2 pp
Draw32.1%32.4%+0.3 pp
Away28.6%26.1%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.517.8%
BTTS46.7%

Historical average

1.260.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.9%
1-011.8%
0-011.1%
2-110.1%
2-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.804.07
Average total8.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=287.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.551.2%
Over 9.539.7%
Over 10.527.5%
Over 11.518.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches103
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.1%22.9%–40.5% CI
Draw FT46.6%37.3%–56.2% CI
Away FT22.3%15.4%–31.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.9%
2+ goals40.8%
3+ goals16.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.5%
Away46.6%