Segunda Division · 2023/24
2024-03-10 · 13:00
12.3839.3%
X2.9132.1%
23.2728.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Santander
WWLLWDWLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Tenerife
DLLLWLDDLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.70
1H goals
0.50
1.50
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.20
Against
5.20
9.50
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
3.20
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Santander attack
1.90goals per matchTenerife conceded1.30Matchup
Tenerife attack
0.80goals per matchSantander conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.20
9.50
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.50
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.10N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
29.10
Match total
24.40
Shots
13.30N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
5.50
On target
2.40
14%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches287
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.3%41.5%+2.2 pp
Draw32.1%32.4%+0.3 pp
Away28.6%26.1%-2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.517.8%
BTTS46.7%
Historical average
1.26–0.97
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.9%
1-011.8%
0-011.1%
2-110.1%
2-08.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.80–4.07
Average total8.87
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=287.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.551.2%
Over 9.539.7%
Over 10.527.5%
Over 11.518.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches103
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.1%22.9%–40.5% CI
Draw FT46.6%37.3%–56.2% CI
Away FT22.3%15.4%–31.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.34
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.9%
2+ goals40.8%
3+ goals16.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.5%
Away46.6%