Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 15:15
11.9448.2%
X3.4227.3%
23.8224.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Gijon
DWDDWLWDWD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Ponferradina
LDDDLDDDLD
0W 7D 3L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.30
20%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.60
0.90
2H goals
1.60
50%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.00
Against
6.40
9.80
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.00
Total goals
2.20
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sp Gijon attack

1.20goals per match
Ponferradina conceded1.30
Matchup

Ponferradina attack

0.90goals per match
Sp Gijon conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.40
9.80
Match total
9.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.40
Match total
5.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
23.70
Match total
23.80

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
3.40
On target
2.60
12%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches651
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.2%44.9%-3.3 pp
Draw27.3%28.3%+0.9 pp
Away24.5%26.9%+2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.523.3%
BTTS51.2%

Historical average

1.471.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
1-011.7%
2-19.8%
0-18.8%
0-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.474.48
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=651.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.530.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches225
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.3%31.3%–43.8% CI
Draw FT35.1%29.2%–41.6% CI
Away FT27.6%22.1%–33.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.0%
2+ goals37.8%
3+ goals15.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.6%
Away44.9%