Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 15:15
11.9448.2%
X3.4227.3%
23.8224.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Gijon
DWDDWLWDWD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Ponferradina
LDDDLDDDLD
0W 7D 3L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.30
20%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.60
0.90
2H goals
1.60
50%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.00
Against
6.40
9.80
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.00
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Gijon attack
1.20goals per matchPonferradina conceded1.30Matchup
Ponferradina attack
0.90goals per matchSp Gijon conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.40
9.80
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.40
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
23.70
Match total
23.80
Shots
10.40N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
3.40
On target
2.60
12%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches651
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.2%44.9%-3.3 pp
Draw27.3%28.3%+0.9 pp
Away24.5%26.9%+2.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.523.3%
BTTS51.2%
Historical average
1.47–1.04
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.4%
1-011.7%
2-19.8%
0-18.8%
0-08.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.47–4.48
Average total9.95
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=651.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.530.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches225
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.3%31.3%–43.8% CI
Draw FT35.1%29.2%–41.6% CI
Away FT27.6%22.1%–33.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.34
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.0%
2+ goals37.8%
3+ goals15.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.6%
Away44.9%