Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-05-27 · 15:15
11.6556.8%
X3.5526.4%
25.5516.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burgos
DWDDLDWDWL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Lugo
LLLLLDLLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.30
1.20
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.50
Against
7.50
10.70
Total
11.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.30
1.20
Goals conceded
2.00
2.20
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burgos attack
1.00goals per matchLugo conceded2.00Matchup
Lugo attack
0.30goals per matchBurgos conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.50
Corners against
7.50
10.70
Match total
11.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.70
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.30N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
24.60
Match total
25.40
Shots
10.20N=10
Shots
7.10N=10
3.60
On target
1.70
10%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches128
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.8%50.8%-6.0 pp
Draw26.4%30.5%+4.1 pp
Away16.9%18.8%+1.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.515.6%
BTTS49.2%
Historical average
1.41–0.85
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-118.0%
1-114.1%
1-011.7%
0-011.7%
0-17.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.41–3.41
Average total8.81
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=128.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.3%
Over 9.541.4%
Over 10.529.7%
Over 11.521.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches44
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%31.7%–59.9% CI
Draw FT38.6%25.7%–53.4% CI
Away FT15.9%7.9%–29.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.16
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal65.9%
2+ goals31.8%
3+ goals15.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.3%
Away27.3%