Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-05-27 · 15:15
11.6556.8%
X3.5526.4%
25.5516.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burgos
DWDDLDWDWL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Lugo
LLLLLDLLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.30
1.20
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.50
Against
7.50
10.70
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.30
1.20
Goals conceded
2.00
2.20
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Burgos attack

1.00goals per match
Lugo conceded2.00
Matchup

Lugo attack

0.30goals per match
Burgos conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.50
Corners against
7.50
10.70
Match total
11.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.70
Match total
3.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
24.60
Match total
25.40

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
7.10N=10
3.60
On target
1.70
10%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches128
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.8%50.8%-6.0 pp
Draw26.4%30.5%+4.1 pp
Away16.9%18.8%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.515.6%
BTTS49.2%

Historical average

1.410.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-118.0%
1-114.1%
1-011.7%
0-011.7%
0-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.413.41
Average total8.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=128.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.3%
Over 9.541.4%
Over 10.529.7%
Over 11.521.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches44
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%31.7%–59.9% CI
Draw FT38.6%25.7%–53.4% CI
Away FT15.9%7.9%–29.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.9%
2+ goals31.8%
3+ goals15.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.3%
Away27.3%