Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-05-21 · 15:15
12.2042.7%
X3.0930.4%
23.4926.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Oviedo
WWLLDDDWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Santander
WDLDLWDLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.40
Against
5.10
9.90
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
1.90
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Oviedo attack
1.10goals per matchSantander conceded1.50Matchup
Santander attack
1.10goals per matchOviedo conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.10
9.90
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.20
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
23.90
Match total
28.60
Shots
9.80N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
2.90
On target
3.70
11%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches369
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.7%42.8%+0.1 pp
Draw30.4%30.4%-0.0 pp
Away26.9%26.8%-0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.513.8%
BTTS45.5%
Historical average
1.22–0.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.5%
1-013.6%
0-010.3%
0-110.0%
2-09.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.96–3.88
Average total8.83
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=369.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.547.4%
Over 9.537.1%
Over 10.526.6%
Over 11.519.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches152
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.9%27.8%–42.7% CI
Draw FT42.8%35.2%–50.7% CI
Away FT22.4%16.5%–29.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.32
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals36.8%
3+ goals14.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.9%
Away46.7%