Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-05-21 · 15:15
12.2042.7%
X3.0930.4%
23.4926.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Oviedo
WWLLDDDWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Santander
WDLDLWDLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.40
Against
5.10
9.90
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
1.90
Total goals
2.60
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Oviedo attack

1.10goals per match
Santander conceded1.50
Matchup

Santander attack

1.10goals per match
Oviedo conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.10
9.90
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.20
Match total
5.00
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
23.90
Match total
28.60

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
2.90
On target
3.70
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches369
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.7%42.8%+0.1 pp
Draw30.4%30.4%-0.0 pp
Away26.9%26.8%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.513.8%
BTTS45.5%

Historical average

1.220.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.5%
1-013.6%
0-010.3%
0-110.0%
2-09.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.963.88
Average total8.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=369.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.547.4%
Over 9.537.1%
Over 10.526.6%
Over 11.519.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches152
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.9%27.8%–42.7% CI
Draw FT42.8%35.2%–50.7% CI
Away FT22.4%16.5%–29.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals36.8%
3+ goals14.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.9%
Away46.7%