Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-05-20 · 17:30
11.6756.2%
X3.4827.0%
25.5816.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alaves
WWWWDDWDWD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Malaga
DLDLLDLWWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.00
0.40
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.00
Against
3.90
9.10
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
0.40
Goals conceded
1.30
1.80
Total goals
2.30
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.40goals per match
Malaga conceded1.30
Matchup

Malaga attack

1.00goals per match
Alaves conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.30
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.00
Corners against
3.90
9.10
Match total
8.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
7.00
Match total
4.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
27.90
Match total
24.50

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
4.90
On target
3.30
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches117
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.2%48.7%-7.5 pp
Draw27.0%29.9%+2.9 pp
Away16.8%21.4%+4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.516.2%
BTTS47.9%

Historical average

1.380.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.2%
2-113.7%
1-011.1%
0-19.4%
0-09.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.163.35
Average total8.51

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=117.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.4%
Over 9.533.3%
Over 10.523.9%
Over 11.517.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%26.3%–55.4% CI
Draw FT35.0%22.1%–50.5% CI
Away FT25.0%14.2%–40.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.5%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals15.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away37.5%