Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-05-20 · 17:30
11.6756.2%
X3.4827.0%
25.5816.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Alaves
WWWWDDWDWD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Malaga
DLDLLDLWWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.00
0.40
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.00
Against
3.90
9.10
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
0.40
Goals conceded
1.30
1.80
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Alaves attack
1.40goals per matchMalaga conceded1.30Matchup
Malaga attack
1.00goals per matchAlaves conceded0.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.00
Corners against
3.90
9.10
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
7.00
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.10N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
27.90
Match total
24.50
Shots
15.00N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
4.90
On target
3.30
9%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches117
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.2%48.7%-7.5 pp
Draw27.0%29.9%+2.9 pp
Away16.8%21.4%+4.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.516.2%
BTTS47.9%
Historical average
1.38–0.86
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.2%
2-113.7%
1-011.1%
0-19.4%
0-09.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.16–3.35
Average total8.51
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=117.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.550.4%
Over 9.533.3%
Over 10.523.9%
Over 11.517.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%26.3%–55.4% CI
Draw FT35.0%22.1%–50.5% CI
Away FT25.0%14.2%–40.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.5%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals15.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away37.5%