Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-05-14 · 17:30
12.5636.5%
X3.0930.2%
22.8033.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Albacete
DWWWWWLLWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Alaves
LLLWWLLWDL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.70
1.20
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
6.20N=10
4.50
Against
4.90
9.10
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.00
2.70
Total goals
1.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Albacete attack

1.80goals per match
Alaves conceded1.00
Matchup

Alaves attack

0.90goals per match
Albacete conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.90
9.10
Match total
11.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.60
Match total
5.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
26.20
Match total
30.10

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
5.20
On target
2.60
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches425
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.5%33.6%-2.8 pp
Draw30.2%36.9%+6.7 pp
Away33.3%29.4%-3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.516.9%
BTTS48.0%

Historical average

1.081.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.9%
0-014.1%
1-012.5%
0-110.6%
2-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.854.47
Average total9.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=425.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.2%
Over 9.547.3%
Over 10.534.8%
Over 11.524.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches159
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.6%23.0%–37.1% CI
Draw FT49.1%41.4%–56.8% CI
Away FT21.4%15.7%–28.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.03

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal62.3%
2+ goals28.3%
3+ goals10.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.9%
Away37.7%