Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 17:30
11.2277.0%
X5.6616.6%
214.796.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Granada
WWWWWWDWWD
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Lugo
LLLLLLDLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.30
0.40
Conceded
1.90
20%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.60
Against
7.10
8.90
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.30
0.40
Goals conceded
1.90
1.90
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Granada attack
1.50goals per matchLugo conceded1.90Matchup
Lugo attack
0.30goals per matchGranada conceded0.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.60
Corners against
7.10
8.90
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
5.00
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
23.60
Match total
25.40
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
6.80N=10
4.80
On target
1.80
13%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home77.0%90.0%+13.0 pp
Draw16.6%0.0%-16.6 pp
Away6.4%10.0%+3.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS20.0%
Historical average
2.10–0.50
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-030.0%
3-220.0%
2-020.0%
0-110.0%
3-010.0%
Comparable corner averages
7.10–2.90
Average total10.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.580.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.540.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT74.1%55.3%–86.8% CI
Draw FT22.2%10.6%–40.8% CI
Away FT3.7%0.7%–18.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.74
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals55.6%
3+ goals22.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home85.2%
Away18.5%