Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 17:30
11.2277.0%
X5.6616.6%
214.796.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Granada
WWWWWWDWWD
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Lugo
LLLLLLDLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.30
0.40
Conceded
1.90
20%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.60
Against
7.10
8.90
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.30
0.40
Goals conceded
1.90
1.90
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Granada attack

1.50goals per match
Lugo conceded1.90
Matchup

Lugo attack

0.30goals per match
Granada conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.60
Corners against
7.10
8.90
Match total
11.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
5.00
Match total
3.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
23.60
Match total
25.40

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
6.80N=10
4.80
On target
1.80
13%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home77.0%90.0%+13.0 pp
Draw16.6%0.0%-16.6 pp
Away6.4%10.0%+3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS20.0%

Historical average

2.100.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-030.0%
3-220.0%
2-020.0%
0-110.0%
3-010.0%

Comparable corner averages

7.102.90
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.580.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT74.1%55.3%–86.8% CI
Draw FT22.2%10.6%–40.8% CI
Away FT3.7%0.7%–18.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.74

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals55.6%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home85.2%
Away18.5%