Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-05-12 · 20:00
12.5836.3%
X2.7633.9%
23.1529.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burgos
LDWDDLDWDW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Leganes
DLDLDLLWLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.40
1.10
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.50
1.50
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.80
Against
5.80
10.70
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.40
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
2.20
Total goals
1.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Burgos attack

1.10goals per match
Leganes conceded1.20
Matchup

Leganes attack

0.40goals per match
Burgos conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
5.80
Corners against
5.80
10.70
Match total
8.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.30
Match total
5.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
24.60
Match total
24.50

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
3.80
On target
2.50
11%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches59
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.3%50.8%+14.5 pp
Draw33.9%30.5%-3.4 pp
Away29.7%18.6%-11.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.559.3%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.516.9%
BTTS49.2%

Historical average

1.320.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-028.8%
1-118.6%
2-18.5%
0-16.8%
0-05.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.053.88
Average total7.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=59.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.540.7%
Over 9.525.4%
Over 10.518.6%
Over 11.513.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI
Draw FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Away FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.4%
2+ goals29.4%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.7%
Away35.3%