Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-05-07 · 20:00
11.7952.3%
X3.3527.9%
24.7419.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cartagena
LLDLLWLWWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Burgos
LLDLWDLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.40
1.20
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.60
1.20
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.40
Against
5.60
7.70
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.10
2.00
Total goals
1.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
30%3/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Cartagena attack

0.80goals per match
Burgos conceded1.10
Matchup

Burgos attack

0.40goals per match
Cartagena conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.60
7.70
Match total
8.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.90
Match total
6.50
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.80N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
30.90
Match total
24.50

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
3.90
On target
2.60
6%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches115
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.3%53.0%+0.7 pp
Draw27.9%27.8%-0.1 pp
Away19.8%19.1%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS44.3%

Historical average

1.510.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.7%
1-113.0%
0-013.0%
2-011.3%
2-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.323.55
Average total8.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=115.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.541.7%
Over 10.524.3%
Over 11.516.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches48
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.3%19.9%–45.3% CI
Draw FT43.8%30.7%–57.7% CI
Away FT25.0%14.9%–38.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals29.2%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.8%
Away41.7%