Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-05-07 · 15:15
12.8932.4%
X2.9731.5%
22.5936.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ponferradina
WWLDDLWDLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Malaga
LDLDLLDLWW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.90
Against
3.90
9.10
Total
8.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
1.70
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ponferradina attack
0.60goals per matchMalaga conceded1.20Matchup
Malaga attack
1.00goals per matchPonferradina conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.90
Corners against
3.90
9.10
Match total
8.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.60
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.30N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
26.30
Match total
25.30
Shots
11.10N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
3.50
On target
3.40
5%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches321
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.4%35.8%+3.5 pp
Draw31.5%30.8%-0.7 pp
Away36.1%33.3%-2.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.514.6%
BTTS46.4%
Historical average
1.08–1.03
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-013.4%
1-112.8%
0-110.6%
1-010.6%
1-210.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.41–4.46
Average total8.88
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=321.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.549.8%
Over 9.540.2%
Over 10.529.0%
Over 11.521.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches133
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.8%26.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT42.9%34.8%–51.4% CI
Away FT23.3%16.9%–31.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.17
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.7%
2+ goals34.6%
3+ goals13.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home49.6%
Away40.6%