Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-05-07 · 15:15
12.8932.4%
X2.9731.5%
22.5936.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ponferradina
WWLDDLWDLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Malaga
LDLDLLDLWW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.90
Against
3.90
9.10
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
1.70
Total goals
2.20
40%4/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Ponferradina attack

0.60goals per match
Malaga conceded1.20
Matchup

Malaga attack

1.00goals per match
Ponferradina conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.90
Corners against
3.90
9.10
Match total
8.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.60
Match total
4.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
26.30
Match total
25.30

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
3.50
On target
3.40
5%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches321
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.4%35.8%+3.5 pp
Draw31.5%30.8%-0.7 pp
Away36.1%33.3%-2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.514.6%
BTTS46.4%

Historical average

1.081.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-013.4%
1-112.8%
0-110.6%
1-010.6%
1-210.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.414.46
Average total8.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=321.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.549.8%
Over 9.540.2%
Over 10.529.0%
Over 11.521.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches133
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.8%26.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT42.9%34.8%–51.4% CI
Away FT23.3%16.9%–31.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.7%
2+ goals34.6%
3+ goals13.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.6%
Away40.6%