Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 15:15
12.3340.3%
X3.0530.8%
23.2429.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mirandes
WWWLWDWLDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Santander
LWDLDLWDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.20
Against
4.10
8.00
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
3.10
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Mirandes attack

1.80goals per match
Santander conceded1.50
Matchup

Santander attack

1.00goals per match
Mirandes conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.20
Corners against
4.10
8.00
Match total
8.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.20
Match total
5.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
24.90
Match total
29.70

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
5.10
On target
3.90
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches691
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.3%37.0%-3.2 pp
Draw30.8%32.0%+1.2 pp
Away29.0%31.0%+2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.521.9%
BTTS49.2%

Historical average

1.221.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.5%
1-010.7%
0-010.7%
0-110.3%
2-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.074.42
Average total9.49

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=690.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.9%
Over 9.547.5%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.524.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches245
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.3%22.1%–33.2% CI
Draw FT44.9%38.8%–51.2% CI
Away FT27.8%22.5%–33.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.8%
2+ goals37.1%
3+ goals12.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.8%
Away46.1%