Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-05-01 · 20:00
12.2042.5%
X3.0231.0%
23.5226.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burgos
DLDWDDLDWD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Villarreal B
LWLWWLLDDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.70
1.30
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.60
1.90
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.60
Against
5.80
10.20
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.10
2.50
Total goals
1.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Burgos attack

1.20goals per match
Villarreal B conceded1.10
Matchup

Villarreal B attack

0.70goals per match
Burgos conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.80
10.20
Match total
9.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.50
Match total
4.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
23.70
Match total
23.70

Shots

9.60N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
3.60
On target
3.40
13%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches385
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.5%40.3%-2.2 pp
Draw31.0%31.9%+1.0 pp
Away26.6%27.8%+1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.513.8%
BTTS45.7%

Historical average

1.190.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.1%
0-011.9%
0-111.2%
1-011.2%
2-09.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.943.93
Average total8.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=385.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.548.6%
Over 9.539.0%
Over 10.528.6%
Over 11.521.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches164
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.1%24.5%–38.5% CI
Draw FT44.5%37.1%–52.2% CI
Away FT24.4%18.5%–31.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.0%
2+ goals36.0%
3+ goals14.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.2%
Away47.0%