Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-05-01 · 20:00
12.2042.5%
X3.0231.0%
23.5226.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burgos
DLDWDDLDWD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Villarreal B
LWLWWLLDDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.70
1.30
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.60
1H goals
0.60
1.90
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.60
Against
5.80
10.20
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.10
2.50
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burgos attack
1.20goals per matchVillarreal B conceded1.10Matchup
Villarreal B attack
0.70goals per matchBurgos conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.80
10.20
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.50
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.90N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
23.70
Match total
23.70
Shots
9.60N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
3.60
On target
3.40
13%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches385
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.5%40.3%-2.2 pp
Draw31.0%31.9%+1.0 pp
Away26.6%27.8%+1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.513.8%
BTTS45.7%
Historical average
1.19–0.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.1%
0-011.9%
0-111.2%
1-011.2%
2-09.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.94–3.93
Average total8.86
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=385.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.548.6%
Over 9.539.0%
Over 10.528.6%
Over 11.521.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches164
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.1%24.5%–38.5% CI
Draw FT44.5%37.1%–52.2% CI
Away FT24.4%18.5%–31.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.0%
2+ goals36.0%
3+ goals14.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.2%
Away47.0%