Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-05-01 · 15:15
11.5261.5%
X3.7025.3%
27.0513.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Gijon
LDDWDDWLWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Lugo
WLLLLLLDLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
0.30
0.70
Conceded
1.60
10%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
20%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.90
0.60
2H goals
1.00
30%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.10
Against
7.50
9.10
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.30
0.70
Goals conceded
1.60
1.50
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Gijon attack
0.80goals per matchLugo conceded1.60Matchup
Lugo attack
0.30goals per matchSp Gijon conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.10
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.10
Corners against
7.50
9.10
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.90
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
24.80
Match total
24.60
Shots
10.40N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
2.90
On target
2.20
8%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.5%57.5%-4.0 pp
Draw25.3%30.0%+4.7 pp
Away13.3%12.5%-0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS42.5%
Historical average
1.55–0.82
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-020.0%
2-015.0%
0-010.0%
2-210.0%
2-110.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.22–3.30
Average total8.53
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.552.5%
Over 9.535.0%
Over 10.522.5%
Over 11.515.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Draw FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Away FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.5%
Away23.1%