Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-05-01 · 15:15
11.5261.5%
X3.7025.3%
27.0513.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Gijon
LDDWDDWLWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Lugo
WLLLLLLDLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.30
0.70
Conceded
1.60
10%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.90
0.60
2H goals
1.00
30%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.10
Against
7.50
9.10
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.30
0.70
Goals conceded
1.60
1.50
Total goals
1.90
30%3/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Sp Gijon attack

0.80goals per match
Lugo conceded1.60
Matchup

Lugo attack

0.30goals per match
Sp Gijon conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.10
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
30%3/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.10
Corners against
7.50
9.10
Match total
11.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.90
Match total
3.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
24.80
Match total
24.60

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
2.90
On target
2.20
8%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.5%57.5%-4.0 pp
Draw25.3%30.0%+4.7 pp
Away13.3%12.5%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS42.5%

Historical average

1.550.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-020.0%
2-015.0%
0-010.0%
2-210.0%
2-110.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.223.30
Average total8.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.5%
Over 9.535.0%
Over 10.522.5%
Over 11.515.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Draw FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Away FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.5%
Away23.1%