Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-04-28 · 20:00
11.6955.6%
X3.4227.5%
25.5516.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Santander
LLWDWWDLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Ibiza
LLLLDLWDDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
2.10
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.60
0.80
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.50
Against
5.40
9.60
Total
8.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
2.10
2.30
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Santander attack
1.40goals per matchIbiza conceded2.10Matchup
Ibiza attack
0.80goals per matchSantander conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.40
9.60
Match total
8.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.90
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
27.50
Match total
22.90
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
4.90
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches156
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.6%53.8%-1.8 pp
Draw27.5%26.9%-0.6 pp
Away16.9%19.2%+2.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.517.3%
BTTS46.8%
Historical average
1.46–0.82
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-116.0%
1-012.8%
1-112.8%
2-010.9%
0-010.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.06–3.44
Average total8.51
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=156.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.551.9%
Over 9.535.9%
Over 10.526.9%
Over 11.518.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches58
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.6%34.3%–59.2% CI
Draw FT34.5%23.6%–47.3% CI
Away FT19.0%10.9%–30.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.4%
2+ goals36.2%
3+ goals12.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.2%
Away31.0%