Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-04-23 · 13:00
13.3228.2%
X3.0930.3%
22.2541.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lugo
DLWLDLDDDD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM
Malaga
DLDLDLLDLW
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.40
Scored
0.90
0.70
Conceded
1.30
10%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.50
1H goals
0.90
0.60
2H goals
1.30
40%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.20N=10
6.60
Against
5.00
10.90
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.40
Goals scored
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded
1.30
1.10
Total goals
2.20
40%4/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lugo attack

0.40goals per match
Malaga conceded1.30
Matchup

Malaga attack

0.90goals per match
Lugo conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.30
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
40%4/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
6.60
Corners against
5.00
10.90
Match total
9.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.80
Match total
4.40
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
25.30
Match total
26.20

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
3.10
On target
3.20
4%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches55
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.2%34.5%+6.4 pp
Draw30.3%23.6%-6.6 pp
Away41.6%41.8%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.556.4%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.518.2%
BTTS41.8%

Historical average

1.021.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-120.0%
1-014.5%
1-29.1%
0-09.1%
2-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.934.98
Average total8.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=55.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.4%
Over 9.540.0%
Over 10.529.1%
Over 11.518.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Draw FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Away FT42.9%24.5%–63.5% CI

Remaining goals

0.95

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.2%
2+ goals14.3%
3+ goals4.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.1%
Away47.6%