Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-04-16 · 17:30
12.5336.9%
X3.0131.0%
22.9132.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Malaga
WDWDDLWLDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Cartagena
LWDLDWDWLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.50
0.50
Conceded
1.10
10%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.20
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.30
Against
6.10
9.20
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.50
0.50
Goals conceded
1.10
1.50
Total goals
2.60
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Malaga attack

1.00goals per match
Cartagena conceded1.10
Matchup

Cartagena attack

1.50goals per match
Malaga conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.30
20%2/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.10
9.20
Match total
9.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.40
Match total
4.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
27.40
Match total
28.10

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
3.60
On target
2.60
9%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches450
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.9%32.2%-4.7 pp
Draw31.0%37.8%+6.8 pp
Away32.1%30.0%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.517.6%
BTTS50.4%

Historical average

1.101.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.8%
0-013.1%
1-010.9%
0-19.3%
2-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.134.49
Average total9.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=449.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.549.2%
Over 10.536.7%
Over 11.528.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches170
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.1%20.9%–34.2% CI
Draw FT51.2%43.7%–58.6% CI
Away FT21.8%16.2%–28.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.3%
2+ goals34.7%
3+ goals10.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.9%
Away41.8%