Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 20:00
12.3340.3%
X2.8433.0%
23.5126.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burgos
LDLDWDDLDW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Ponferradina
LLDLDDDLDD
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.50
1.20
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.50
1H goals
0.60
1.70
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.40
Against
6.40
9.70
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
2.20
Total goals
1.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Burgos attack

1.00goals per match
Ponferradina conceded1.00
Matchup

Ponferradina attack

0.50goals per match
Burgos conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.10
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
30%3/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.40
Corners against
6.40
9.70
Match total
10.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.80
Match total
5.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
23.60
Match total
24.60

Shots

9.30N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
3.40
On target
2.00
11%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches112
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.3%39.3%-1.0 pp
Draw33.0%33.0%+0.0 pp
Away26.7%27.7%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.59.8%
BTTS42.0%

Historical average

1.070.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-016.1%
2-114.3%
1-114.3%
0-111.6%
1-010.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.944.04
Average total8.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=112.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.542.0%
Over 10.529.5%
Over 11.520.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.5%15.3%–39.5% CI
Draw FT51.1%37.2%–64.7% CI
Away FT23.4%13.6%–37.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.02

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal61.7%
2+ goals29.8%
3+ goals8.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.3%
Away42.6%