Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 17:30
11.6457.1%
X3.3328.1%
26.3514.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Oviedo
WWDWWLLDDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Lugo
LWLLLLLLDL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
0.20
0.40
Conceded
1.80
0%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
10%
By half
0.30
1H goals
0.70
0.70
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.40
Against
8.00
9.10
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.20
0.40
Goals conceded
1.80
1.00
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Oviedo attack
0.60goals per matchLugo conceded1.80Matchup
Lugo attack
0.20goals per matchOviedo conceded0.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.10
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.10
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.40
Corners against
8.00
9.10
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.20
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
24.80
Match total
23.90
Shots
9.00N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
2.70
On target
2.60
7%
Conversion
3%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.1%80.0%+22.9 pp
Draw28.1%10.0%-18.1 pp
Away14.8%10.0%-4.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.510.0%
Over 3.50.0%
BTTS10.0%
Historical average
1.50–0.20
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-040.0%
1-030.0%
0-110.0%
1-110.0%
3-010.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.60–3.30
Average total7.90
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.540.0%
Over 9.530.0%
Over 10.520.0%
Over 11.520.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI
Draw FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Away FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.21
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals21.4%
3+ goals7.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home64.3%
Away42.9%