Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 17:30
11.6457.1%
X3.3328.1%
26.3514.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Oviedo
WWDWWLLDDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Lugo
LWLLLLLLDL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
0.20
0.40
Conceded
1.80
0%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
10%

By half

0.30
1H goals
0.70
0.70
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.40
Against
8.00
9.10
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.20
0.40
Goals conceded
1.80
1.00
Total goals
2.00
20%2/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
0%0/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
10%1/10
Matchup

Oviedo attack

0.60goals per match
Lugo conceded1.80
Matchup

Lugo attack

0.20goals per match
Oviedo conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.10
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.10
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.40
Corners against
8.00
9.10
Match total
11.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.20
Match total
3.40
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
24.80
Match total
23.90

Shots

9.00N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
2.70
On target
2.60
7%
Conversion
3%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.1%80.0%+22.9 pp
Draw28.1%10.0%-18.1 pp
Away14.8%10.0%-4.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.510.0%
Over 3.50.0%
BTTS10.0%

Historical average

1.500.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-040.0%
1-030.0%
0-110.0%
1-110.0%
3-010.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.603.30
Average total7.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.540.0%
Over 9.530.0%
Over 10.520.0%
Over 11.520.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI
Draw FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Away FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals21.4%
3+ goals7.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.3%
Away42.9%