Segunda Division · 2022/23
2023-04-09 · 17:30
12.7533.9%
X2.8233.1%
22.8333.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ponferradina
DLWWLDDLWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Leganes
WDDDLDLDLL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.60
0.90
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.70
1.00
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.40
Against
4.70
8.50
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.60
0.90
Goals conceded
1.10
1.60
Total goals
1.70
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Ponferradina attack

0.70goals per match
Leganes conceded1.10
Matchup

Leganes attack

0.60goals per match
Ponferradina conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.70
8.50
Match total
9.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.30
Match total
5.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
24.80
Match total
26.70

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
3.50
On target
3.00
6%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches149
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.9%30.2%-3.7 pp
Draw33.1%40.3%+7.2 pp
Away33.0%29.5%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.529.5%
Over 3.514.8%
BTTS46.3%

Historical average

1.011.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-122.1%
0-013.4%
0-111.4%
1-09.4%
0-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.184.29
Average total8.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=149.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.549.7%
Over 9.536.9%
Over 10.523.5%
Over 11.515.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches61
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.2%16.8%–38.4% CI
Draw FT47.5%35.5%–59.8% CI
Away FT26.2%16.8%–38.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.2%
2+ goals31.1%
3+ goals6.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.3%
Away41.0%